Did We Over-Hype Harper

Originally Posted July 27th, 2016

Bryce Harper
By MissChatter on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)%5D, via Wikimedia Commons
At the beginning of the 2016 fantasy baseball draft season there were many analysts who had Bryce Harper as their number one ranked player, I was not one of them. Who could blame them though as he finished his MVP season in 2015 as the third ranked player in roto. Analysts fell in love with what the talented, young, outfielder did and said finally he had lived up to what we expected. By any measurement you use, if you thought he was number one, you would be disappointed with what Harper has done this year. It’s our own fault though.

Harper is currently the 46th ranked player in roto, far from the projections of number one he was projected as. He has a .240/.380/.458 slash line this year with 20 home runs, 55 RBIs, 53 runs and 75 walks. If you just look at those number and forget that you drafted him number one you would be happy with the production you have received, but in the context of being drafted number one you are let down.

But why did we let ourselves take one season and get fooled in to thinking that was the new norm. In 2014 Harper finished ranked 332. Yes, he was hurt and was still a kid at only 21 years old, but he never showed us that he could stay healthy or produce the numbers he did in 2015. Harper has taught us a valuable lesson, don’t let one season outweigh the broader numbers. Yes, you can expect players of Harper’s age and talent level to improve from season to season, but don’t put enormous expectations on a kid.

On behalf of fantasy analysts I want to say sorry to Harper, we put too much pressure on you and should not have done that.

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